I've added a neat little poll tracking map over on the side bar, that updates in real-time. It is from Electoral Vote.com What they do is track the latest polling for each state, plug it into the map and calculate a new electoral college number for each candidate. They also track the Congressional races as well. It's a non-partisan site that simply tracks polls and helps visualize them.
Right now, we're seeing the low point in the Obama campaign. The map has him losing in the important swing state of Florida..
.. and still leading the electoral vote 304 to 221 for McCain.
There's an article from the AP today, where the Obama staff talks about winning the election without both Florida and Ohio. Take a look at the electoral map, which currently shows McCain with Florida's EVs. Drop Ohio's 20, and Obama still has 284, 14 more than the 270 needed to win the election.
As was the case with Clinton, who had massive leads at the start of the Democratic primary only to be defeated by Obama, McCain will find that when he starts out vaguely even with Obama, he's going to end up crushed.
What I think is going to happen is that Obama will win Ohio, North Carolina, Michigan, and Virginia.. and while it'll be close in Florida, that won't matter. Unless something really strange happens, it's going to be a blow-out.
This afternoon, Al Gore has endorsed Obama, and they will be appearing together at a rally in Michigan.
Is anybody going to endorse John McCain? Will anybody care?
2 comments:
I've been looking at the electoral map a lot lately, and the gamer in me wants to put some money on it.
Predicting now what Obama will win in November. Closest to the actual map gets the pot.
Find one of those and we'll throw some money down. :)
Steve.
It fixes teh forums..
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